Super Bowl LIX Tight End Player Props Analysis

Tight ends are often overlooked in the DFS landscape, but Super Bowl Sunday features immensely talented pass-catching threats capable of impacting the game on its biggest stage.

This article highlights some favored player props for the TE position entering Super Bowl LIX. Please note that these prop lines can be found on Underdog Fantasy and are subject to change.

Discussing the regular season struggles and poor AFC Championship Game performance is understandable; however, this article emphasizes the fantasy outlook of Travis Kelce entering the Super Bowl. In his four previous Super Bowl appearances, Kelce has topped 64.5 receiving yards only once.

In addition, Washington Commanders veteran TE Zach Ertz recently gained 104 yards against this defense. Although the game script may have contributed, if Ertz can exploit this defense, so can Kelce.

A stylistic difference between the Buffalo Bills and Philadelphia Eagles is the coverage principles. The Bills predominantly used man coverage in the AFC Championship Game, allowing the Chiefs to utilize Kelce as a decoy. Contrastingly, the Eagles are expected to implement more zone coverage, which Kelce can punish thanks to his understanding of how to exploit zone soft spots and his connection with Mahomes.

Mentioning Ertz and his performance against this secondary is relevant, considering their similar skill sets. Ertz recorded 11 receptions against the Philadelphia defense, and Kelce will undoubtedly attract more attention than Ertz faced last week. This dynamic could be the strategy Andy Reid employs to maximize Kelce's influence against this defense.

Dallas Goedert often seems like the forgotten part of the Eagles' high-powered offense. With notable players like Saquon Barkley, A.J. Brown, and DeVonta Smith, it is understandable. Nonetheless, Goedert has contributed 15 receptions for 188 yards and a touchdown this postseason, averaging five receptions per game.

Despite the Kansas City defense's strong performance this year, they have struggled against tight ends, allowing an average of 13.3 fantasy points per game—the third most in the league. This tendency suggests Goedert may see more involvement in the passing game than expected during the Super Bowl.

Taking into account Goedert's 188 receiving yards this postseason, he is averaging well above his prop line. Although not identical to the previous Super Bowl matchup against the Chiefs, Goedert recorded 60 receiving yards against this defense two years ago on the biggest stage.

Believing Goedert will exceed 4.5 receptions, it is reasonable to expect him to achieve this yardage total against a Chiefs defense that is vulnerable against skilled pass-catching tight ends.