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UniCredit Reports Strong Fourth-Quarter Profit Amid M&A Activity

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UniCredit has reported a fourth-quarter profit of nearly 2.03 billion USD, exceeding forecasts and increasing shareholder returns, while actively pursuing mergers in the banking sector.

Italy's second-largest lender, UniCredit, reported its fourth-quarter profit on Tuesday, exceeding expectations and raising returns for shareholders as the market focuses on the bank's mergers and acquisitions overtures.

The net profit attributable to the group reached 1.969 billion euros (approximately 2.03 billion USD), significantly higher than the analyst forecast of 1.803 billion euros, according to a consensus compiled by LSEG.

During the same period, revenues hit 6 billion euros, surpassing analyst expectations of 5.898 billion euros.

UniCredit has been at the forefront of Italy's push for consolidation since the latter half of last year, particularly following its unexpected stake acquisition—and subsequent increase—in Germany's Commerzbank, along with a takeover offer for domestic competitor Banco BPM that was made at the end of 2024. While Banco BPM has so far rejected UniCredit's initial proposal, CEO Andrea Orcel indicated to Bloomberg that the opening bid was merely a "fair starting point."

The German administration has criticized UniCredit's bid for Commerzbank as "very aggressive, very opaque, untransparent." Similarly, the Italian government shows resistance to any domestic acquisitions, as plans arise to establish a third major Italian banking entity alongside Intesa Sanpaolo and UniCredit.

Further complicating the situation, on February 2, UniCredit revealed a 4.1% stake build in top insurer Generali Group but emphasized that the venture is not driven by "no strategic interest."

Italy's regulatory environment features "golden powers" legislation, allowing the government to intervene or impose conditions on significant corporate takeovers in critical sectors such as defense, energy, communications, and banking.

Market observers are watching closely to see which of its dual targets UniCredit decides to pursue, or if it will strive to maintain focus on both.

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